22 Eylül 2012 Cumartesi

Second Set of Predictions for 2012: The Western Division Opener!

I did pretty good in my predictions for last night, predicting three out of the four match points correctly. Manhattan drew New York when I thought they'd win. GM Romamenko surprised me by defeating Gelashvili, which would have helped my match point prediction, but to the contrary Bodek beat Zaikov.

On the other hand, I had somewhat subpar performance on my game points predictions, getting 43.75% correctly. I did pretty good on the first three matches, getting 7/12 on those but got an "0 for 4" for Baltimore-Philadelphia. Ironically, by predicting all four games incorrectly in that match, I the four games that led to a drawn match, allowed my match prediction be correct! Let's see how I do tonight!

Tonight we're going to be truckin' around the West Coast!
The Always Strong Miami Sharks vsthe St Louis Arch Bishops Who Lost Hikaru
GMBecerra- GM Finegold 1-0 It will be a close call but Becerra is aUSCL beast!
IMPriyadharshan- SM Perez 1-0 I know absolutely nothing about IMPriyadharshan; I'm gonna go on a whim and say he'll come out aheadwith the white pieces.
FMRodriguez- FM Eckert Rodriguez 1-0 coming back from a summer of chessin Europe, Rodriguez should be a favorite!
Hendrickson-Rosenthal 1-0 Rosenthal, who dealt plenty of upsets in previousseasons of the USCL, is quite unpredictable. However, with the whitepieces and higher rating, I'll give Hendrickson an edge in his leaguedebut.
Andwe shall see a Drawn Match 2-2!
The Veteran San Francisco Mechanicsvs the Guys who Returned to the Western Division; theCarolina Cobras
GMBhat- IM Schroer 1-0 Schroer is pretty solid, but with the blackpieces, I don't think he'll hold agains Bhat.
FMKorley- GM Kraai 0-1 My fellow New Yorker Korley often does surprisesome higher rated players but to be objective, I think Kraai has anedge!
FMSevian- FM Simpson 0-1 Both players have had disappointing seasons in2011. While I think Sevian, might objectively be a stronger player,my instincts tell me experience will outweigh youth here!
Mu-Wheeler 1-0 As Mu won the u2200 section of the 2011 World Open, aheadof myself and a few others who tied for second, I know he has a lotof stamina!
AndCarolina will surprise the Mechanics with an upset draw! Drawnmatch 2-2
The Dallas Destiny Shall Seek toEven Up Their Lifetime Score Against the Seattle Sluggers
GMChirila- FM Cozianu 1-0 GM and white pieces... hard to predictagainst Chirila
FMMikhailuk- IM Wang 1/2-1/2 As he shown in years passed, Mikhailuk isconsiderably stronger with white than black. I think he'll try toplay pretty solidly and Wang won't be able to win the full point
Safin-FM Collyer 1-0 I know absolutely nothing about either of theseplayers, so I'll guess the guy with the higher rating and whitepieces will win!
Lessler-Chiang 1/2-1/2 Wild Guess! As Idon't really know any of these players well, I'll have to give myselfsome margin of error on this one! Dallas wins 2.5-1.5
The LA Vibe and the ArizonaScorpions will break their 1.5-1.5 Lifetime Score!
IM Matikozyan- IMMolner 1/2-1/2 Molner will likely be the one pushing at the end, butpeace will be the ultimate result!
IM Altounian- FMKavutskiy 1-0 The white pieces and experience will give Altounianjustice in this game!
FM Akopyan- IMGinsburg 0-1 Akopyan is another mystery to me but with Ginsburg'ssuperb opening preparation, I think he'll get the full point.
WFM Mateer- Korba 1-0. I first wrote Mateer would be an underdog against Casella but with a higher rating, more time on the clock than Korba,  and the white pieces to boot, I think she'll win! 
Arizona will jumpahead in their lifetime score: Arizona wins 3.5-.5

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